base rates

285 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - daring to disagree with Chris "three brains" Bailey

I start with some macro matters, base rates, house prices, the madness of Malcolm in buying housebuilders, etc. Then it is on to Currys (CURY) where Chris is wrong about the shares and where my experience as a customer is not good. Then its cash crisis ahoy at Colin Bird’s Bezant Resources (BZT) and finally when is it a good time to stand down as CEO and what can it mean, I refer to FinnCrap (FCAP) and to Pod Point (PODP) PS I reckon that FinnCap is due another profits warning PDQ as is its proposed merger partner Cenkos (CNKS). 

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297 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Powerhouse accelerates its rush to insolvency with dirty related party deal

I start on the 0.5% hike in base rates: who is to blame? What does it mean for house prices, recession, corporate insolvencies and the next General Election? Then I look at Oracle power (OCP), Contango (CGO), Shanta Gold (SHG), More Acquisitions (TMOR) which is treating Doc Holliday very badly, Bidstack (BIDS) – target now zero – and Powerhouse Energy (PHE), ditto. 

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302 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: I agree with Chris Bailey

I look at the hot sun outside and think of the hot sun we are promised on Saturday as we do the last 34 mile Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks walk. With gift aid we are now at c£17,500. If you can help us get towards £20,000 with even a £10 donation please do so HERE. In a long podcast I discuss base rates in the UK, inflation, recession , Crispin Odey and his collapsing empire, San Leon (SLE), Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX), Eurasia (EUA), Cineworld (CINE), Supply@ME Capital (FRAUD), and M & C Saatchi (SAA). I also look at Robert Walters (RWA). and its long term threats as a commodity player.

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537 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: I apologise to between 70 and 75% of Australians

After that apology to most of the citizens of a nation that has turned Philistinism into an art form I discuss the Bank of England hiking base rates by 0.75%. Then it is onto ouzo man and Purplebricks (PURP) before I turn to two gold stocks that could now rocket by Christmas, Kefi Gold & Copper (KEFI) and Bluebird Merchant Ventures (BMV). I own shares in both and both have two reasons for a dramatic near term re-rate. Then Trainline (TRN) where the outlook is not so bright.

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575 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Boohoo and Mahmud with his gross cash - he really is taking the piss now

Sorry for the last Bearcast. Lots of things distracted me today. In the podcast I look at Boohoo.com (BOO) and on a related note the honesty of Waseem Shakoor. Then at Sosander (SOS), Bidstack (BIDS), Non Standard Finance (NSF) and Guild eSports (GILD) asnd also at the sense of denial in some quarters about economic gloom/reality and base rates.

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2095 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: on a scale of Mother Theresa to Paul Scott I am at...

I have had a business lunch, a rare event for me down in the boonies and as such I assess my sobriety. In this podcast I discuss Union Jack (UJO) and the new business-hating climate in Britain, Optibiotix (OPTI), Countrywide (CWD), UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), RM2 (RM2) and base rates on both sides of the pond. Oh and en passant Julie "Lingerie on Expenses" Meyer.

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2281 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Surging Sterling: it was never about Brexit

I start with a discussion on Neil Woodford. Should I do a "special" session on him at UK Investor Show?  Answers in the comments section below please. Sterling is very much on the up. It was never about Brexit, that was a lie from the liberal media and remoaners. It was always about base rates and they are now on the up. What does that mean for us all? I look at Prezzo, another restaurant chain in the merde but it is not just about being in the wrong sector at the wrong time it is about debt and that, as I explain, has wider implications. And finally I look at the latest initiative from this not fit for purpose Government, meddling with share buy backs.

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2373 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - rate rise next week - the data that will shock you and shock Britain

Next week the Bank of England will increase base rates. Almost certainly by not enough but it is a start and a sign of what is to come. I look at new data out this week which shows just how much of a shock even a rise of 0.5% will be to millions of our fellow citizens and what the ramifications of that will be. I look at share sales at Berkeley Group (BKG), I look at CEO pay at ASOS (ASC) and finally have real doubts about the forthcoming IPO of Footasylum which I'd dodge big time.

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2492 days ago

Terry Smith vs Andrew Monk - will it be different this time?

Base rates are going to stay low forever so current (inflated) equity market valuations are justifiable. In other words "it will be different this time". I don't believe that and neither does Andrew Monk of VSA. But the great Terry Smith argues it might be...who are we to argue with Terry? 

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3147 days ago

The Fed, FOMC, base rates and why we all live in the land of make-believe

I got this piece written by a fellow called Simon Black, who runs the Sovereign Man website, today. Yes we live in la la land as Mr Black explains

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3190 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 4 August: Marie Antoinette, QE, base rates, Sefton, Armour and more

An odd day yesterday had me reflecting on how QE and low base rates had skewed life but how that is all about to change. A bearish podcast on equity prices and UK house prices. Then onto Sefton, Armour Group and Monitise.

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